Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Wall St dips and gold surges, capping a tumultuous week

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By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. stocks dipped, gold surged and European stocks suffered their biggest weekly loss of the year on Friday amid cooling economic data, a hawkish Federal Reserve and unfolding political crises in Europe.

The dollar gained ground against a basket of world currencies.

“(Regarding) the political turmoil over in Europe, we’re finally starting to see some signs of contagion,” said Michael Green, chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management in Philadelphia.

“You’re seeing risk metrics getting amped up and people are moving into risk-off assets,” Green added. “And you’re not just seeing it in the stock market.”

The and the Dow were moderately lower while the tech-heavy Nasdaq was last essentially unchanged on the day.

For the week, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are on track to advance, with the latter lining up its biggest weekly percentage gain since late April.

The Dow looks to be headed to end the week lower than last Friday’s close.

The Fed capped its two-day monetary policy meeting with no change to its key interest rate, as expected. But in its Summary of Economic Projections, the central bank reduced the number of its projected rate cuts this year from three to one, striking a more hawkish than expected tone.

The sting was soothed by a series of economic indicators that showed inflation is cooling more quickly than analysts projected, which could convince the data-dependent Fed to reconsider the timing and number of cuts this year.

“(The Fed is) saying, ‘We plan on cutting one time,’ right? That was relatively disappointing to investors,” Green said. “At the same time, they acknowledged that the inflation progress is encouraging, and the economy is weakening. Investors are dealing with that exact same issue.”

Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester called the recent cooling inflation data “welcome,” in the wake of the week’s CPI and PPI reports, which came in below analyst expectations, while Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee called the data a “relief,” but added that more progress is needed.

The fell 82.26 points, or 0.21%, to 38,564.84, the S&P 500 lost 6.73 points, or 0.12%, to 5,427.01 and the added 6.18 points, or 0.03%, to 17,673.74.

European stocks extended their broad sell-off as risk appetite was dampened by political uncertainties in France. The pan-European fell 2.4% on the week, its largest single-week percentage drop of 2024.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.97% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe shed 0.36%.

Emerging market stocks rose 0.04%. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.19% lower, while rose 0.24%.

The dollar advanced while the euro set a course for its largest weekly drop against the dollar, dragged lower by political uncertainties in France.

The yen recovered after the Bank of Japan issued a surprisingly dovish policy update.

The rose 0.35%, with the euro down 0.34% to $1.0699.

The Japanese yen weakened 0.16% versus the greenback at 157.30 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at $1.2683, down 0.60% on the day.

U.S. Treasury yields extended their decline, edging down to their lowest level since late March as economic data provided the latest evidence of cooling inflation.

Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 7/32 in price to yield 4.2131%, from 4.24% late on Thursday.

The 30-year bond last rose 28/32 in price to yield 4.3506%, from 4.401% late on Thursday.

Oil prices inched lower but notched their best week in four months due to solid demand projections.

dropped 0.22% to settle at $78.45 per barrel, while settled at $82.62 per barrel, down 0.16% on the day.

Gold prices surged and looked to be headed for their first weekly gain in four.

© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 14, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

“There’s a lot of geopolitical uncertainty. Gold is the stable money, and a lot of central banks have been stocking up,” said Thomas Martin, senior portfolio manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta.

added 1.4% to $2,334.93 an ounce.

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